COVID-19 Population Risk Assessment Summary Statistics: High Risk Population
This report describes socio-demographic and risk threshold distributions for two cohorts of people - the high risk cohort (from the QCovid® model) and the total PRA cohort assessed by the QCovid® model. It also contains a summary on the use of default values in the QCovid® model for missing data, or data outside minimum-maximum thresholds.
Management information describes aggregate information collated and used in the normal course of business to inform operational delivery, policy development or the management of organisational performance.
Executive summary
The COVID-19 Population Risk Assessment (PRA) used the QCovid® calculation engine at a national level, combining factors such as age, sex at birth, ethnic category, body mass index (BMI) and specific health conditions and/or treatments to estimate the risk of a person catching and dying from COVID-19.
This was implemented using centrally held patient data to identify adults who might be at high risk, and generated risk assessment results for these individuals. People whose results were above the agreed threshold for high risk were added to the Shielded Patient List (SPL) in England as a precautionary measure.
In February 2021, 17 million people were identified as potentially high risk by the COVID-19 PRA (not including those already on the SPL). Of these, circa 1.5 million people were identified as high risk and subsequently added to the SPL as a precautionary measure, and they were prioritised for the COVID-19 vaccine if they had not already been offered it on account of their age.
Last edited: 11 November 2021 9:12 am